Markets “In a Nutshell” for November 18, 2024
Investment Week at a Glance
Stocks finished lower for the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.2%, the S&P 500 was down 2.1%, and the NASDAQ fell 3.1%. Foreign stocks (MSCI EAFE) were also down, falling 2.2%. Bond prices were down for the week, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury ending the week at 4.44%. (Data source: Wall Street Journal)
October CPI Report
The October CPI (consumer price index) report was released last week and ticked slightly higher than September’s report. Headline CPI was 2.6% while core CPI (excludes food & energy) increased 3.3% year-over-year. These numbers came in line with expectations, so the market had little reaction to them overall. The Fed still says that their target inflation is 2% but many don’t see the economy getting there as we are still above their goal and at the same time, they are beginning to cut rates. The new normal for the foreseeable future may be an inflation rate in the 2%-3% range, still much lower than the 9.1% inflation we saw in June of 2022. The next Fed meeting is a month away and currently, the market is pricing in a 58% probability of another 0.25% rate cut.
Tariff Uncertainty
One policy that President-elect Trump has talked a lot about is imposing tariffs on imported goods. Tariffs put pressure on inflation to move higher but looking at the historical effects it typically is just a one-time increase. Unless there is an escalation in tariffs after they are imposed, typically it does not have a long-term effect on inflation. The other question investors have is if these tariffs are just going to be used as a bargaining chip for Trump or if he is going to impose them no matter what. This will be something to monitor throughout the next 4 years and watch for its impact on inflation.
Tesla’s Post-Election Bump
Elon Musk was one of President-elect Trump’s biggest supporters during the campaign and it has paid off for Tesla’s stock. Tesla’s stock is up over 50% in the past month as it is now worth over $1 trillion. There are now reports that the Trump administration will ease self-driving car rules which has caused another move higher for Tesla stock today. (CNBC) Uber’s stock is down today as the worry of a possible Tesla robotaxi fleet could be on its way in 2026 according to Musk. (Investopedia) Musk’s gamble of backing Trump looks to be paying off as there was worry restrictions would tighten on Musk’s companies if Harris had won the presidency.
Quiz:
How many American companies have a market cap of over $1 trillion? (Scroll Down for Answer)
Answer below.
Have a Great Week!
Answer:
1. 8. There are now 8 companies with a market cap of over $1 trillion. Those companies are, Apple, NVIDIA, Microsoft. Alphabet (Google), Amazon, Meta Platforms (Facebook), Tesla, & Berkshire Hathaway.
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